Development Innovation to Predict Dengue Affected Area and Alert People with Smartphones

Abstract

Dengue remains a significant problem that needs to be addressed urgently in Thailand. Although Thailand has spread the dengue fever for more than sixty years, however, it is still found dengue patients in every province and spread to various areas. There is also a variable pattern of disease occurring each year, so it is necessary to have tools to help forecast area to allow the related organization and the people in the area plan to prevent dengue fever that may occur next year. This research aimed to create innovation for predicting dengue fever regions, namely ThaiDengue, by collecting data from dengue patients in Chatuchak District, Bangkok, Thailand, from January 2014 to December 2018. There was a total of 358,524 dengue patients from the Bureau of vector-borne diseases applied to the prediction of patients in the next year with the ARIMA model (1,1,0) (1,1,0). It is predicted that in 2019, Thailand will have dengue patients around 95,000 cases, which has the number of dengue patients close to the year 2018. In the next step, application development and database on fog computing. Fog computing is an evolving technology that brings the benefits achieved by could computing to the periphery of the network devices for faster data analytics. It is better suited than cloud computing for meeting the demands of numerous emerging applications such as self-driving cars, traffic lights, smart homes. While the ThaiDengue consists of the main menu: how to use, forecast, surveillance calendar, notification, disease map, notify patients, contact the Bureau of vector-borne, knowledge information, and scan the QR code. After that, the result of the development, the researcher has the Bureau of vector-borne disease of Thailand used to forecasts, create a GPS map of dengue outbreaks, and create a calendar for dengue monitoring.  After that, send a message to alert the people in the area of dengue via a smartphone and send additional emails. The results from using the application found this application can be used as a tool to help the Bureau of vector-borne diseases, to plan dengue fever control and alert the people in the risk areas of dengue outbreak and users are very satisfied with the use of the application.