Hybrid Approach for Wind Turbines Power Curve Modeling Founded on Multi-Agent System and Two Machine Learning Algorithms, K-Means Method and the K-Nearest Neighbors, in the Retrieve Phase of the Dynamic Case Based Reasoning

Abstract

Wind turbine power curve (WTPC) plays an important role for energy assessment, power forecasting and condition monitoring. The WTPC captures the nonlinear relationship between wind speed and output power. Many modeling approaches have been proposed by researches to improve the WTPC model performance. In this paper, we present a hybrid approach of wind turbines power curve modeling based on Case Based Reasoning approach, multi agent system, the K-Means unsupervised machine learning method, and then the supervised machine learning algorithm, which is the K-Nearest Neighbors KNN method. The both of the Machine Learning algorithms, K-means and KNN, are used in the retrieve step of the Dynamic Case Based Reasoning (DCBR) cycle to facilitate the search of wind turbines with similar characteristics to our target case. These wind turbines are first grouped into homogeneous classes and then sorted on the basis of a feature similarity measure using the K-Nearest Neighbors supervised machine learning method. Finally, a set of WTPC with similar characteristics of the target case are proposed.