Measurement Sensitivity in Heterogeneous Treatment Effect Analysis: Evidence from the Project STAR Experiment

Authors

  • Mika Takechi Yamato University, Suita, Japan
  • Shigeyuki Hamori Yamato University, Suita, Japan; Kobe University, Kobe, Japan https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1498-0188

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.3991/itdaf.v4i3.62410

Keywords:

Project STAR, Treatment heterogeneity, Outcome construction, Educational assessment, Class-size effects

Abstract


This paper examines how the construction and timing of outcome and heterogeneity measures influence the estimation of treatment heterogeneity in randomized educational experiments. Using data from the Project STAR experiment as a laboratory setting, we compare treatment-effect estimates across alternative definitions of student achievement and student heterogeneity. Baseline specifications using contemporaneous Grade 3 achievement measures suggest positive interaction effects between small-class assignment and measured student heterogeneity. However, these interaction effects become substantially weaker and generally lose statistical significance when heterogeneity is measured using pre-treatment achievement scores from kindergarten, grade 1, and grade 2. Similar patterns emerge across reading and mathematics outcomes as well as across alternative cross-domain specifications. The results indicate that conclusions regarding treatment heterogeneity are highly sensitive to the timing, domain, and construction of heterogeneity measures. More broadly, the findings demonstrate that measurement sensitivity represents an important issue in empirical data analysis of heterogeneous treatment effects. The results highlight the importance of robustness assessment under alternative measurement constructions before drawing substantive conclusions in experimental and policy evaluation studies.

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Published

2026-10-07

How to Cite

Takechi, M., & Hamori, S. (2026). Measurement Sensitivity in Heterogeneous Treatment Effect Analysis: Evidence from the Project STAR Experiment. IETI Transactions on Data Analysis and Forecasting (iTDAF), 4(3), pp. 34–46. https://doi.org/10.3991/itdaf.v4i3.62410

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Section

Papers